Mantova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 2
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 2
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
FIA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACS
2 - 0
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |