Mantova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 2
MAN
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
CES
46%
32%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MAN
47%
32%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 1
USF
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
37%
35%
28%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
ASS
3 - 3
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
NOV
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
NOV
3 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
USF
3 - 1
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |