Mantova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
PIS
2 - 0
MAN
36%
35%
29%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 3
MAN
28%
31%
41%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
50%
30%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
NOV
0 - 1
FCC
51%
29%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 2
CES
53%
30%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
35%
32%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |