Mantova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 2
VNZ
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 3
MAN
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VNZ
5 - 2
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |