Mantova vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
12%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.7%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 0
MAN
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 2
MAN
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
ACM
18%
27%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
FIO
3 - 0
NAP
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 1
NAP
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |