Mantova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
MAN
2 - 1
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 2
MAN
42%
33%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
MAN
46%
32%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 1
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
ACM
4 - 0
VAR
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ACM
1 - 0
VIC
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FIO
4 - 2
ACM
46%
29%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |