Mantova vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 1
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCC
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
4 - 1
FIO
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 1
JUV
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1962 |
JUV
3 - 0
LEC
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 1
JUV
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
VNZ
3 - 0
JUV
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 3
UDI
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |