Mantova vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
TER
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
62%
24%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAR
11%
21%
67%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BV5
1 - 2
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
0 - 0
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
FAN
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 3
ACL
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |