Mantova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
TOR
5 - 2
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
MAN
2 - 2
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |