Mantova vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
FRO
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 0
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FIA
1 - 0
USC
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 0
FIA
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FIA
0 - 0
PIS
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 0
FIA
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FIA
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |