Mantova vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
PIS
3 - 0
MAN
34%
30%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 5
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 2
REG
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
ASS
0 - 2
FCC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
VER
2 - 0
FCC
45%
28%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 0
LIV
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 1
VNZ
48%
29%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |