Mantova vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 0
MAN
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIN
48%
26%
27%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
4 - 1
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
PRO
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 1
FCC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
3 - 1
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |