Mantova vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VER
0 - 1
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 1
ACP
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
COM
3 - 1
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |