Mantova vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BOL
4 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
MAN
2 - 0
GEN
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MAN
0 - 1
INT
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAT
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 0
ROM
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |