Mantova vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 5
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
INT
1 - 1
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 1
CAT
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |