Mantova vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
7%
17%
76%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
SON
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 4
MAN
11%
20%
68%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
6 - 0
DAR
81%
14%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
REZ
1 - 0
MAN
27%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
12%
20%
67%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEG
4 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAR
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
SCA
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |