Mantova vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 1
MAN
14%
22%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
REZ
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SER
1 - 2
MAN
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
PON
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAR
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |