Mantova vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
ABN
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
VNZ
3 - 1
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASG
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 0
FAN
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
PAD
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ABN
0 - 3
PAD
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |