Mantova vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
CUN
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
USC
25%
29%
46%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 0
REN
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
CTT
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAD
28%
27%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |