Mantova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAN
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
EMP
33%
30%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
GAL
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
4 - 1
ABN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
VIC
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |