Mantova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
FIO
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPA
38%
33%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIC
31%
33%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 0
VIC
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |