Mantova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NAP
1 - 0
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 2
TOR
34%
31%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
MAN
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MAN
2 - 1
ASS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
37%
29%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1971 |
AND
0 - 2
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
5 - 2
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |