Mantova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIC
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
BOL
0 - 0
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 1
BOL
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |