Mantova vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CRO
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 1
FRO
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAN
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 4
ASC
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 5
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
PAD
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |