Mantova vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
48%
30%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAN
42%
33%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1973 |
ASC
0 - 2
USF
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASC
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
0 - 0
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |