Mantova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
26.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 0
MAN
65%
24%
11%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRG
57%
27%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
35%
34%
32%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCC
47%
31%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
46%
29%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |