Mantova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAM
47%
29%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
ACM
0 - 1
MAN
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
ROM
3 - 1
MAN
74%
19%
8%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 1
JUV
22%
30%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 0
VAR
46%
30%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 0
VER
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 3
ROM
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
37%
33%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |