Mantova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
MAN
2 - 1
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 2
MAN
42%
33%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
MAN
46%
32%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
ACM
4 - 0
VAR
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 5
VAR
38%
32%
31%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
55%
27%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 3
TOR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |