Mantova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
30.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MAN
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
42%
32%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 2
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
52%
29%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 1
REG
64%
25%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
PRG
64%
25%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
VAR
39%
32%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOD
68%
23%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |