Mantova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 4
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
FIO
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |