Mantova vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
CTT
11%
22%
67%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
BV5
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 4
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAV
1 - 2
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 0
GER
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |