Malcantone vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
82.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
6.7%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
13%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.8%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 1
MEN
10%
16%
75%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
MOU
6%
11%
83%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 4
WOH
15%
21%
64%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 1
YFJ
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCW
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
TUG
70%
17%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 3
GRA
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 2
TUG
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |