Malcantone vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
89.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
15.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
20.3%
0-4
11.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
14.6%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
8.6%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 2
TUG
7%
11%
83%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 1
MEN
10%
16%
75%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
MOU
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 4
WOH
15%
21%
64%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 2
STG
27%
23%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
GCZ
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
SLA
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 4
STG
27%
23%
49%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 1
STG
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |