Lumezzane vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
ACL
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACL
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACL
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
4 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 5
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAR
21%
28%
52%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |