Lumezzane vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACL
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAV
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 2
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TER
3 - 2
FCC
70%
21%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PES
1 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ABN
3 - 1
TER
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |