Lumezzane vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
6º
1º
36
11º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACL
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACL
4 - 0
SER
34%
28%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 3
ACL
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACL
3 - 1
ALC
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SON
0 - 2
ACL
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |