Lumezzane vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACL
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
ACL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
SPA
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 0
TAR
29%
31%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 2
SPA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |