Lumezzane vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACL
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ACL
3 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 1
ACL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ACL
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 2
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 0
PIS
34%
30%
35%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |