Lumezzane vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
ACL
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 2
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
USF
1 - 0
ACL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
ACL
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 0
INT
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAR
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GAE
1 - 4
SAR
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |