Lumezzane vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
GRO
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 0
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACL
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
USC
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
MAN
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRO
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIT
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |