Lumezzane vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LEV
4 - 1
ACL
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
TRE
76%
17%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PER
4 - 0
ACL
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 2
BUS
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 3
REZ
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
PSM
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
PSM
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |