Lumezzane vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
2 - 2
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
ACL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 4
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ACL
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 1
ACR
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 2
PRG
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
PER
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
RAV
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |