Lumezzane vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 3
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
REG
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
ARZ
3 - 1
ACL
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
ARZ
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 0
MOD
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
MOD
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
USA
0 - 1
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |