Lumezzane vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 3
ACL
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAN
27%
29%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REG
2 - 0
ACL
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 2
VNZ
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
ASG
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
FAN
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |