Lumezzane vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 1
ACL
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 2
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 0
ACL
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 4
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |