Lumezzane vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ACL
5 - 1
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 2
LIV
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
ACL
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ASL
5 - 1
ALV
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASL
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRE
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |