Lumezzane vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
USA
0 - 2
ACL
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 2
ABN
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 2
ACL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |