Lumezzane vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
USC
2 - 1
ACL
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
ACL
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACD
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
ACL
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
VNZ
45%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAV
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |