Lumezzane vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 2
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRE
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |