Lumezzane vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 0
SPE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 3
ACL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACL
4 - 3
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 4
ACL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
PIS
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LEC
5 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
3 - 2
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |